Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.057859 0.065598 0.073625 0.082545 0.092150 0.102156 0.113339
2025-02-16 0.041279 0.052074 0.064026 0.078097 0.094072 0.111514 0.131867
2025-02-23 0.033900 0.046974 0.062271 0.081135 0.103432 0.128628 0.158932
2025-03-02 0.028592 0.043198 0.061153 0.084189 0.112328 0.144999 0.185218
2025-03-09 0.022420 0.037246 0.056455 0.082113 0.114482 0.153047 0.201552
2025-03-16 0.017385 0.031916 0.051781 0.079371 0.115248 0.159007 0.215110
2025-03-23 0.015319 0.030395 0.051853 0.082513 0.123237 0.173716 0.239276
2025-03-30 0.013266 0.028538 0.051188 0.084460 0.129561 0.186318 0.260918
2025-04-06 0.011836 0.027421 0.051396 0.087470 0.137217 0.200611 0.284756
2025-04-13 0.009887 0.025106 0.049575 0.087434 0.140673 0.209481 0.301807
2025-04-20 0.009559 0.025581 0.051982 0.093455 0.152385 0.229116 0.332658
2025-04-27 0.007734 0.022974 0.049315 0.091893 0.153571 0.234973 0.345948
2025-05-04 0.006532 0.021441 0.048370 0.093020 0.158795 0.246619 0.367392
2025-05-11 0.005169 0.019278 0.046181 0.092154 0.161208 0.254636 0.384380
2025-05-18 0.004810 0.019289 0.047732 0.097123 0.172068 0.274161 0.416647
2025-05-25 0.004369 0.019006 0.048711 0.101185 0.181664 0.292080 0.446986
2025-06-01 0.003302 0.016821 0.045970 0.099077 0.182078 0.297379 0.460597
2025-06-08 0.002362 0.014583 0.042829 0.096060 0.180950 0.300424 0.471134
2025-06-15 0.002117 0.014373 0.043642 0.099656 0.189789 0.317372 0.500414
2025-06-22 0.001801 0.013808 0.043667 0.101874 0.196543 0.331458 0.525945
2025-06-29 0.001601 0.013589 0.044381 0.105284 0.205158 0.348234 0.555238
2025-07-06 0.001233 0.012528 0.043173 0.105245 0.208406 0.357427 0.574290
2025-07-13 0.001259 0.013174 0.045772 0.112042 0.222398 0.382012 0.614491